语言:简体中文
South Africa v Bangladesh
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
South Africa (主队)
预测 91.83%1.09公平赔率
EV -3.58%
优势 -3.41%
Kelly -71.61%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.05
博彩公司预测分布
90.74%91.80%92.02%92.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.021.031.031.0598.04%97.01%97.09%95.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bangladesh (客队)
预测 8.17%12.24公平赔率
EV +6.23%
优势 +0.480%
Kelly +0.520%
增长率 +0.032%
假设最高赔率为 13.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.28%8.20%7.98%9.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0011.9912.0013.0010.00%8.34%8.33%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：South Africa (主队)：91.83%；Bangladesh (客队)：8.17%。 对于“Bangladesh (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.24。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+6.23%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.94%E -0.161%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.94%E -0.161%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.94%E -0.161%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.07%E -0.717%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.85%EV -3.58%E -3.41%K -71.61%G +0.000% | 10.43I 9.59%NM 9.15%EV -14.77%E -1.42%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 09:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.28%E -1.83%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-28 09:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 0.4% | 2026-06-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 0.4% | 2026-06-28 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.77% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 09:10 |