La scuola delle quote

South Africa v Bangladesh

Inizio: 2026-06-28 09:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

South Africa (Casa)

Previsione 91.83%1.09quota equa
EV -3.58%
Vantaggio -3.41%
Kelly -71.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
90.74%91.80%92.02%92.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.031.031.0598.04%97.01%97.09%95.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bangladesh (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.17%12.24quota equa
EV +6.23%
Vantaggio +0.480%
Kelly +0.520%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.28%8.20%7.98%9.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
10.0011.9912.0013.0010.00%8.34%8.33%7.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%4.8%2026-06-28 09:00
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%4.8%2026-06-28 08:59
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%4.8%2026-06-28 08:59
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%4.8%2026-06-28 09:00
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%4.8%2026-06-28 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%4.8%2026-06-28 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%4.8%2026-06-28 09:00
Neds1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%5.7%2026-06-28 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%5.7%2026-06-28 09:00
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%5.7%2026-06-28 09:20
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%5.7%2026-06-28 09:09
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.23%E +0.480%K +0.520%G +0.032%5.7%2026-06-28 09:09
Betway1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.94%E -0.161%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 08:59
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.94%E -0.161%K -0.176%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:19
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.94%E -0.161%K -0.176%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:19
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.07%E -0.717%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 09:10
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:00
Grosvenor1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:00
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 08:59
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:00
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:00
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.50%E -4.33%K -112.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:00
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.42%E -5.26%K -180.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.11%E -0.919%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 09:00
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 90.85%EV -3.58%E -3.41%K -71.61%G +0.000%10.43I 9.59%NM 9.15%EV -14.77%E -1.42%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 09:10
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.34%E -6.21%K -316.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.28%E -1.83%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 09:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%0.4%2026-06-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%0.4%2026-06-28 09:20
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.77%19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23%0.5%2026-06-28 09:20
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-06-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-06-28 09:10