The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pakistan v Netherlands

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pakistan (Local)

Prediction 74.12%1.35fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -12.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%73.99%74.00%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3080.00%78.18%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Netherlands (Visit)

Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.01%26.00%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.653.7529.41%27.48%27.40%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pakistan (Local): 74.12%; Netherlands (Visit): 25.88%. For Netherlands (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -2.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.82%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:20
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:19
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 09:09
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.94%E -0.783%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 09:19
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.94%E -0.783%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 09:20
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.82%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 09:19
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 09:18
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.94%E -0.783%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.94%E -0.783%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 09:20
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:09
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:09
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:09
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.82%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 09:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.82%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.61%E -5.25%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.94%E -0.783%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 09:20
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.94%E -0.783%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 09:09
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.94%E -0.783%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 09:19
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.94%E -0.783%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 07:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.82%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-27 09:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-27 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-27 09:20
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-27 09:20
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-06-27 09:19