The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pakistan v Bangladesh

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pakistan (Local)

Prediction 66.26%1.51fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -5.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.88%66.32%66.27%67.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.441.4771.43%69.99%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bangladesh (Visit)

Prediction 33.74%2.96fair odd
EV -0.461%
Edge -0.156%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.18%33.68%33.73%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.752.9538.46%36.15%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pakistan (Local): 66.26%; Bangladesh (Visit): 33.74%. For Bangladesh (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.461%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -12.27%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -12.27%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 13:19
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 13:19
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 13:19
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 12:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 12:49
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 12:49
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 12:49
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 12:49
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.58%E -4.66%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.84%E -1.35%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.461%E -0.156%K -0.237%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.15%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 19:40
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.15%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.16%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 13:19
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 13:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 13:09
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-20 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-20 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-20 13:10
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-20 13:20
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-06-20 13:20