语言:简体中文
New Zealand v Scotland
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
New Zealand (主队)
预测 80.28%1.25公平赔率
EV -2.06%
优势 -1.69%
Kelly -9.38%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.22
博彩公司预测分布
78.57%80.19%80.42%81.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.191.181.2286.21%84.31%84.75%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
Scotland (客队)
预测 19.72%5.07公平赔率
EV +3.55%
优势 +0.676%
Kelly +0.836%
增长率 +0.030%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
18.10%19.81%19.58%21.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.714.605.2522.73%21.23%21.74%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：New Zealand (主队)：80.28%；Scotland (客队)：19.72%。 对于“Scotland (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.07。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.25，对应+3.55%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.88%E -5.93%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +3.55%E +0.676%K +0.836%G +0.030% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -2.06%E -1.69%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -2.06%E -1.69%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.27%E -4.47%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.08%E -5.19%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.08%E -5.19%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.08%E -5.19%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.08%E -5.19%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.34%E -0.894%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.27%E -4.47%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.47%E -3.76%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.31%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.27%E -4.47%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.27%E -4.47%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.27%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.27%E -4.47%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.27%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 08:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 08:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 08:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.08%E -5.19%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-23 09:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.08%E -5.19%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-23 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 09:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.08%E -5.19%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-23 09:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-06-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-06-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-06-23 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-06-23 09:20 |