Language:English
England v West Indies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
England (Local)
Prediction 81.47%1.23fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -16.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.46%81.56%81.52%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.151.151.1987.72%86.86%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
West Indies (Visit)
Prediction 18.53%5.40fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.353%
Kelly +0.431%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.44%18.48%19.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.245.255.5020.83%19.07%19.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 81.47%; West Indies (Visit): 18.53%. For West Indies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.31%E -5.49%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.31%E -5.49%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.31%E -5.49%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 14:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.31%E -5.49%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.31%E -5.49%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.31%E -5.49%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.13%E -6.25%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.13%E -6.25%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.13%E -6.25%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.13%E -6.25%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-06-24 13:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.13%E -6.25%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.94%E +0.353%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.69%E -4.00%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.69%E -0.513%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.50%E -4.74%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.69%E -4.00%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.50%E -4.74%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.50%E -4.74%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.50%E -4.74%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.13%E -6.25%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.13%E -6.25%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.13%E -6.25%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-24 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.13%E -6.25%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-24 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.06%E -2.57%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -9.18%E -1.87%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.31%E -5.49%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.04%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-06-24 17:20 |