預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

England v Scotland

開賽時間: 2026-06-20 17:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

23 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

England (主隊)

預測 90.54%1.10公平賠率
EV -1.31%
優勢 -1.20%
Kelly -14.59%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.09

博彩公司預測分布
89.55%90.54%90.54%91.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.031.051.051.0997.09%95.48%95.24%91.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Scotland (客隊)

預測 9.46%10.57公平賠率
EV +4.07%
優勢 +0.370%
Kelly +0.407%
成長率 +0.017%

假設最高賠率為 11.00

博彩公司預測分布
8.56%9.46%9.46%10.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.0010.0110.0011.0011.11%9.99%10.00%9.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:England (主隊):90.54%;Scotland (客隊):9.46%。 對於「Scotland (客隊)」,該估計相當於10.57的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為11.00,對應+4.07%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (23 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.07%E +0.370%K +0.407%G +0.017%3.4%2026-06-20 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.07%E +0.370%K +0.407%G +0.017%3.4%2026-06-20 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.62%K -145.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.07%E +0.370%K +0.407%G +0.017%5.2%2026-06-20 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.75%E -6.55%K -224.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +4.07%E +0.370%K +0.407%G +0.017%6.2%2026-06-20 17:19
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.75%E -6.55%K -224.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +4.07%E +0.370%K +0.407%G +0.017%6.2%2026-06-20 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.84%E -5.62%K -145.99%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -3.02%E -0.295%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 17:19
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%EV -1.31%E -1.20%K -14.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%EV -5.39%E -0.539%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-20 17:19
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.39%E -0.539%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.39%E -0.539%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 17:09
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.39%E -0.539%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.39%E -0.539%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.62%K -145.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.39%E -0.539%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.62%K -145.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.39%E -0.539%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 17:10
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.62%K -145.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.39%E -0.539%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 17:09
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.62%K -145.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.39%E -0.539%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 17:09
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.12%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.12%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.12%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.12%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 17:09
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.12%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.12%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 17:10
TAB🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.85%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.75%E -6.55%K -224.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -14.85%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 17:18
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-06-20 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-06-20 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-06-20 17:20
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-06-20 17:20
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-06-20 17:20