语言:简体中文
England v Australia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
England (主队)
预测 33.73%2.97公平赔率
EV -0.508%
优势 -0.172%
Kelly -0.260%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.95
博彩公司预测分布
32.18%33.60%33.65%34.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.862.882.9536.36%34.97%34.78%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
Australia (客队)
预测 66.27%1.51公平赔率
EV -3.90%
优势 -2.69%
Kelly -8.67%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
65.63%66.40%66.35%67.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.411.401.4573.53%70.81%71.43%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：England (主队)：33.73%；Australia (客队)：66.27%。 对于“England (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.97。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.95，期望值为-0.508%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.508%E -0.172%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.508%E -0.172%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.508%E -0.172%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.508%E -0.172%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.508%E -0.172%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.508%E -0.172%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.508%E -0.172%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -1.52%E -0.520%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.55%E -4.65%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.19%E -0.757%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.19%E -0.757%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.19%E -0.757%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.19%E -0.757%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.87%E -0.996%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.21%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.21%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.22%E -5.15%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.88%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.57%E -3.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -4.89%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -3.90%E -2.69%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-03 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.89%E -4.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 14:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.89%E -4.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.89%E -4.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 05:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 06:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.87%E -7.26%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-05 14:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |