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Australia v West Indies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Australia (Local)
Prediction 91.66%1.09fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -3.58%
Kelly -75.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.55%91.68%91.69%92.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0598.04%97.05%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
West Indies (Visit)
Prediction 8.34%11.99fair odd
EV +8.38%
Edge +0.645%
Kelly +0.699%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.28%8.32%8.31%10.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0012.1312.5013.0011.11%8.25%8.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Australia (Local): 91.66%; West Indies (Visit): 8.34%. For West Indies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.99. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +8.38%E +0.645%K +0.699%G +0.059% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +8.38%E +0.645%K +0.699%G +0.059% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +8.38%E +0.645%K +0.699%G +0.059% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +8.38%E +0.645%K +0.699%G +0.059% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +8.38%E +0.645%K +0.699%G +0.059% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +8.38%E +0.645%K +0.699%G +0.059% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.50%E -6.38%K -325.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +8.38%E +0.645%K +0.699%G +0.059% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.50%E -6.38%K -325.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +8.38%E +0.645%K +0.699%G +0.059% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.50%E -6.38%K -325.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +8.38%E +0.645%K +0.699%G +0.059% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.22%E +0.337%K +0.367%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.22%E +0.337%K +0.367%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.22%E +0.337%K +0.367%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.22%E +0.337%K +0.367%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.22%E +0.337%K +0.367%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.22%E +0.337%K +0.367%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.22%E +0.337%K +0.367%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.50%E -6.38%K -325.20%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.22%E +0.337%K +0.367%G +0.015% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +0.047%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +0.047%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -4.12%E -0.358%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.29%E -0.754%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.29%E -0.754%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.59%E -5.42%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.29%E -0.754%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.17%EV -3.75%E -3.58%K -75.08%G +0.000% | 10.84I 9.23%NM 8.83%EV -9.62%E -0.888%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.50%E -6.38%K -325.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -16.63%E -1.66%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.75%E -3.58%K -75.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -24.96%E -2.77%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |