Language:English
Australia v India
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Australia (Local)
Prediction 71.75%1.39fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -6.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%71.76%71.90%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.28%74.91%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
India (Visit)
Prediction 28.25%3.54fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.320%
Kelly -0.448%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.24%28.10%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.293.253.5031.25%30.41%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Australia (Local): 71.75%; India (Visit): 28.25%. For India (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.14%E -2.33%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 13:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 13:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 13:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 13:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 13:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.57%E -3.44%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.57%E -3.44%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |