Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zimbabwe v West Indies

Kickoff: 2026-02-23 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zimbabwe (Local)

Prediction 30.81%3.25fair odd
EV +10.93%
Edge +3.04%
Kelly +4.20%
Growth +0.459%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%30.71%30.91%31.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.023.6034.48%32.49%33.06%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Indies (Visit)

Prediction 69.19%1.45fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -9.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.24%69.29%69.09%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.361.361.3977.52%73.34%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zimbabwe (Local): 30.81%; West Indies (Visit): 69.19%. For Zimbabwe (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.93%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +10.93%E +3.04%K +4.20%G +0.459%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -10.75%E -8.33%K -37.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 12:59
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.145%E +0.045%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-23 13:24
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.145%E +0.045%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-23 13:10
Pinnacle🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -0.779%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 11:50
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 13:05
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:05
SportsBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 13:24
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 13:24
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:05
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:10
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 13:15
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 13:09
GTbets🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 13:15
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:15
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:14
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:15
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:15
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:24
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -8.17%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.29%E -5.44%K -21.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 13:19
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.67%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-20 09:15
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.67%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-20 09:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 13:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%0.3%2026-02-23 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-02-23 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-02-23 13:25
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-02-23 13:25
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%2.2%2026-02-23 13:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.42%46.00I 2.17%NM 1.93%12.4%2026-02-23 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.42%46.00I 2.17%NM 1.93%12.4%2026-02-23 13:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.42%46.00I 2.17%NM 1.93%12.4%2026-02-23 13:15