默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sri Lanka v Pakistan

开赛时间: 2026-02-28 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sri Lanka (主队)

预测 39.12%2.56公平赔率
EV -2.21%
优势 -0.884%
Kelly -1.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.97%39.22%39.18%41.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.54%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pakistan (客队)

预测 60.88%1.64公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.845%
Kelly -2.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
58.67%60.78%60.82%62.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.42%64.52%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sri Lanka (主队):39.12%;Pakistan (客队):60.88%。 对于“Pakistan (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.64。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.62,期望值为-1.37%,未产生正期望值。

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.21%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 13:13
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:15
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -3.77%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.24%E -4.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 13:15
SportsBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -3.77%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 13:15
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 13:10
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.73%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 11:15
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 11:15
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 11:15
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 11:15
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 11:15
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 11:15
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 13:15
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 13:15
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 13:10
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -7.69%E -3.26%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -1.37%E -0.845%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -7.69%E -3.26%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.37%E -0.845%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 13:25
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 13:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.37%E -0.845%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 21:49
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.67%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 13:15
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.67%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 13:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-02-28 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-02-28 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-02-28 13:25
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-02-28 13:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%8.4%2026-02-28 13:20

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.22%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%12.6%2026-02-28 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.22%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%12.6%2026-02-28 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.22%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%12.6%2026-02-28 13:15