South Africa v New Zealand

开赛时间： 2026-03-04 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

58%

42%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

South Africa (主队)

预测 57.58%1.74公平赔率

EV -2.11%

优势 -1.24%

Kelly -3.02%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布

56.41%58.04%57.29%60.45%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.571.651.651.7063.69%60.61%60.61%58.82%MIN均值中位数MAX

New Zealand (客队)

预测 42.42%2.36公平赔率

EV +3.08%

优势 +1.27%

Kelly +2.15%

增长率 +0.066%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布

39.55%41.96%42.71%43.59%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.182.242.252.4345.87%44.66%44.44%41.15%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -8.44%E -5.31%K -14.31%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV +3.08%E +1.27%K +2.15%G +0.066%	4.0%	2026-03-04 13:25
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.60%E -6.11%K -16.84%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.955%E +0.401%K +0.692%G +0.007%	5.7%	2026-03-04 13:25
Bovada	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
Bet Right	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 13:25
LeoVegas	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
TABtouch	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
LiveScore Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
Virgin Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
Unibet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
Casumo	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
Grosvenor	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
ATG (SE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
PlayUp	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
TAB	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.72%E -4.15%K -10.83%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-04 13:25
Marathon Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.60%E -6.11%K -16.84%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
FanDuel	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.57%E -3.39%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.98%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-04 13:24
Betway	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.11%E -1.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
Unibet (UK)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
Coral	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
DraftKings	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
Neds	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
PointsBet (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 13:25
GTbets	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-04 13:25
Betr (AU)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-04 13:25
SportsBet	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.53%E -3.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-04 13:25

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Matchbook	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%	0.2%	2026-03-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%	0.5%	2026-03-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%	0.5%	2026-03-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%	0.5%	2026-03-04 13:25
Smarkets	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%	1.6%	2026-03-04 13:25

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
888sport	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%	11.5%	2026-03-04 13:25
888sport (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.37%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.45%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%	12.2%	2026-03-04 13:25
Mr Green (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.37%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.45%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%	12.2%	2026-03-04 13:25