Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

India v Zimbabwe

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

India (Local)

Prediction 92.01%1.09fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -67.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.73%91.91%92.02%93.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.031.0598.04%96.42%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zimbabwe (Visit)

Prediction 7.99%12.51fair odd
EV +19.90%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.283%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.43%8.09%7.98%10.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.5111.0015.0011.11%8.69%9.09%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 92.01%; Zimbabwe (Visit): 7.99%. For Zimbabwe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.51. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.90%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.31%E -4.15%K -107.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +19.90%E +1.33%K +1.42%G +0.283%2.8%2026-02-26 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +19.90%E +1.33%K +1.42%G +0.283%3.8%2026-02-26 13:15
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +19.90%E +1.33%K +1.42%G +0.283%3.8%2026-02-26 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV +18.30%E +1.24%K +1.33%G +0.243%3.8%2026-02-26 13:14
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.92%E +0.301%K +0.326%G +0.013%4.8%2026-02-26 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.92%E +0.301%K +0.326%G +0.013%4.8%2026-02-26 13:10
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.92%E +0.301%K +0.326%G +0.013%4.8%2026-02-26 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.92%E +0.301%K +0.326%G +0.013%4.8%2026-02-26 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.15%K -107.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.08%E -0.340%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.08%E -0.340%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.08%E -0.340%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 13:25
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.08%E -0.340%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 13:25
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.08%E -0.340%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 13:10
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.82%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%11.78I 8.49%NM 8.18%EV -5.84%E -0.495%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 07:55
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.07%E -0.702%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -12.07%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 13:25
GTbets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.07%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.07%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 13:10
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 13:10
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 13:10
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 13:10
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.31%E -4.15%K -107.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 13:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.31%E -4.15%K -107.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.06%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.40%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.67%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.60%EV -23.26%E -2.42%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 13:00
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -28.06%E -3.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%0.4%2026-02-26 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%0.4%2026-02-26 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%0.4%2026-02-26 13:20
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%0.4%2026-02-26 13:10
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%19.01I 5.26%NM 5.14%2.3%2026-02-26 13:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 88.94%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.89%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%12.4%2026-02-26 13:10
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 88.94%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.89%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%12.4%2026-02-26 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 88.94%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.89%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%12.4%2026-02-26 13:10