Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.22
assuming max odds 5.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 79.60%; West Indies (Visit): 20.40%. For West Indies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.90. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.17%.
3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.84%E -9.68%K -90.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +12.17%E +2.21%K +2.71%G +0.329% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -2.88%E -2.36%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -2.88%E -2.36%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 13:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 13:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.064%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.08%E -0.223%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 13:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 13:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 13:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -2.88%E -2.36%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 13:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -12.30%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -12.30%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -12.30%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -13.32%E -3.13%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 13:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 13:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 13:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 13:25 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.75% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.75% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.75% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |