默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

England v Pakistan

开赛时间： 2026-02-24 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

England (主队)

预测 59.13%1.69公平赔率

EV -4.21%

优势 -2.60%

Kelly -6.79%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布

57.59%59.22%59.18%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.531.581.571.6265.36%63.22%63.69%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pakistan (客队)

预测 40.87%2.45公平赔率

EV -1.91%

优势 -0.797%

Kelly -1.37%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布

39.39%40.78%40.82%42.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.202.342.352.4045.45%42.73%42.55%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：England (主队)：59.13%；Pakistan (客队)：40.87%。对于“Pakistan (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.45。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.40，期望值为-1.91%，未产生正期望值。

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-24 13:25
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-23 07:45
William Hill🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-02-24 08:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-24 13:09
Bovada🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-24 13:20
DraftKings🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-24 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-24 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-24 13:05
PlayUp🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-24 13:14
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.93%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-24 13:14
GTbets🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-24 13:24
TAB🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-24 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-24 13:05
Neds🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-24 13:04
SportsBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-24 13:09
Bet Right🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.17%E -4.56%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-24 13:25
Unibet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.17%E -4.56%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-22 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.17%E -4.56%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-22 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.17%E -4.56%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-22 18:29
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.17%E -4.56%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-24 13:04
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.17%E -4.56%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-24 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.17%E -4.56%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-24 13:05
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.56%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-24 13:04
Casumo🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.85%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-22 18:30
Grosvenor🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.85%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-22 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.85%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-22 18:30
TABtouch🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.85%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-22 18:30
LeoVegas🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.85%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-22 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.85%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-22 18:30
Betsson🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-02-24 13:20
NordicBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-02-24 13:19
Marathon Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.98%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-24 13:19

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%	0.3%	2026-02-24 13:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%	0.3%	2026-02-24 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%	0.3%	2026-02-24 13:19
Matchbook◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%	0.3%	2026-02-24 13:14
Smarkets◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%	1.3%	2026-02-24 13:24

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.08%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%	11.6%	2026-02-24 13:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.08%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%	11.6%	2026-02-24 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.08%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%	11.6%	2026-02-24 13:19