The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yorkshire v Lancashire

Kickoff: 2026-06-05 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yorkshire (Local)

Prediction 50.47%1.98fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.65%50.41%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.891.9155.56%53.45%52.91%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lancashire (Visit)

Prediction 49.53%2.02fair odd
EV -0.940%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.35%49.59%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.901.902.0053.48%52.51%52.77%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yorkshire (Local): 50.47%; Lancashire (Visit): 49.53%. For Lancashire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -0.940%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 17:40
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 09:59
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.38%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 09:59
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.38%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.38%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.38%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 09:59
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.38%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 09:59
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.38%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.38%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 09:59
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.12%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 17:40
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.62%E -3.01%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -3.01%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.95%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -3.01%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.95%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -3.01%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.95%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-03 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.64%E -4.17%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.14%E -4.47%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 17:49
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.15%E -5.09%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.940%E -0.470%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.15%E -5.09%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.940%E -0.470%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 17:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.15%E -5.09%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.42%E -1.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-06-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-05 17:50
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-05 17:50
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-06-05 17:50