The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yorkshire v Gloucestershire

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yorkshire (Local)

Prediction 61.46%1.63fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -6.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.52%61.04%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.521.521.5768.49%65.68%66.01%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gloucestershire (Visit)

Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.678%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.41%38.48%38.96%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.452.5543.48%41.25%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yorkshire (Local): 61.46%; Gloucestershire (Visit): 38.54%. For Gloucestershire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -8.67%E -3.66%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 13:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -8.67%E -3.66%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -9.05%E -3.84%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 13:20
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 13:10
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 13:19
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 13:20
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:20
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:20
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.81%E -5.20%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 13:10
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.81%E -5.20%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 13:10
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.81%E -5.20%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 13:10
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -10.27%E -7.03%K -22.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -1.73%E -0.678%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 04:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -10.27%E -7.03%K -22.32%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -2.88%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-31 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-31 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-31 13:20
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-05-31 13:20
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-31 13:20