La scuola delle quote

Worcestershire v Birmingham Bears

Inizio: 2026-05-29 16:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Worcestershire (Casa)

Previsione 51.81%1.93quota equa
EV -4.14%
Vantaggio -2.24%
Kelly -4.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.93%52.03%52.00%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.801.801.8558.82%55.68%55.56%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Birmingham Bears (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.19%2.08quota equa
EV +1.19%
Vantaggio +0.566%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%47.97%48.00%49.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.992.002.1052.63%50.31%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +1.19%E +0.566%K +1.08%G +0.013%3.2%2026-05-29 16:09
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +1.19%E +0.566%K +1.08%G +0.013%3.2%2026-05-29 16:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.19%E +0.566%K +1.08%G +0.013%5.4%2026-05-29 16:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -9.32%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +0.225%E +0.108%K +0.209%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 16:10
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:09
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:10
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:10
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:10
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:10
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:10
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:09
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 12:29
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.91%E -7.01%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 12:29
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.77%E -4.36%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.00%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:10
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.14%E -2.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.48%E -3.90%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 16:18
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -8.45%E -4.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.45%E -4.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 16:19
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.45%E -4.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 16:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-29 16:20
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-29 16:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-29 16:19