The School of Odds

Sussex v Hampshire

2026-07-12 13:30 UTC — T20 Blast

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sussex (Local)

Prediction 40.85%2.45fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.855%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%40.96%39.74%43.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.162.282.202.5046%44%45%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hampshire (Visit)

Prediction 59.15%1.69fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.69%59.04%60.26%61.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.641.6765%62%61%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 20:55
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -0.723%E -0.297%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 20:55
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 20:58
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.32%E -5.37%K -15.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 20:55
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 21:15
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -4.81%E -2.06%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 22:39
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 00:14
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 00:14
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.23%E -0.735%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:14
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.23%E -0.735%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:14
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.23%E -0.735%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 00:18
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:30
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 00:14
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -11.75%E -5.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%6.2%2026-07-10 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 49.18%1.50I 66.67%NM 50.82%31.2%2026-07-10 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 49.18%1.50I 66.67%NM 50.82%31.2%2026-07-10 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 50.00%1.40I 71.43%NM 50.00%42.9%2026-07-10 21:15
Arbitrage (6 combinations) +0.12%Coral 2.50 (40.0%) / 888sport 1.67 (60.0%)Show all 6 combinations
Sussex (Local)Hampshire (Visit)Margin
Coral 2.50 (40.0%)888sport 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
Coral 2.50 (40.0%)betfred_uk 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
Coral 2.50 (40.0%)William Hill 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
Ladbrokes (UK) 2.50 (40.0%)888sport 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
Ladbrokes (UK) 2.50 (40.0%)betfred_uk 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
Ladbrokes (UK) 2.50 (40.0%)William Hill 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%