The School of OddsSurrey v Sussex
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Surrey (Local)
Prediction 67.94%1.47fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%68.27%67.76%71.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.291.391.401.4478%72%71%69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sussex (Visit)
Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +0.810%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%31.73%32.24%34.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.903.2036%34%34%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -12.36%E -9.58%K -42.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +2.59%E +0.810%K +1.18%G +0.031% | 8.8% | 2026-07-08 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.22%E -0.727%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.22%E -0.727%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.92%E -5.05%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -3.18%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 17:14 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 17:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 17:23 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.28%E -6.13%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:24 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:24 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.67%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 14:30 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.7% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |