Surrey v Sussex

2026-07-08 17:30 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Surrey (Local)

Odds

1.4369.93%Min

1.4469.24%Mean

1.4469.44%Median

1.4768.03%Max

Consensus probabilities

64.20%1.558Min

65.95%1.516Max

64.51%1.550Mean

64.52%1.550Median

64.52%1.550IQM

64.51%1.550Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.47 under the IQM model: 64.52%

EV -5.15%Edge -3.50%Kelly -10.96%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sussex (Visit)

Odds

2.6038.46%Min

2.7037.05%Mean

2.7336.70%Median

2.7736.10%Max

Consensus probabilities

34.05%2.937Min

35.80%2.793Max

35.49%2.818Mean

35.48%2.819Median

35.48%2.819IQM

35.49%2.818Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.77 under the IQM model: 35.48%

EV -1.73%Edge -0.625%Kelly -0.978%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Surrey (Local) ▼	Sussex (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.15% E -3.50% K -10.96% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -4.21% E -1.56% K -2.48% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-04 23:10
Neds	1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.15% E -3.50% K -10.96% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -4.21% E -1.56% K -2.48% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-04 23:09
Betway	1.45I 68.97% NM 64.20%EV -6.44% E -4.44% K -14.31% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -7.76% E -2.99% K -4.85% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-04 23:45
Sky Bet	1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.09% E -4.92% K -16.10% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -2.44% E -0.888% K -1.39% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 23:05
Coral	1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.09% E -4.92% K -16.10% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -2.44% E -0.888% K -1.39% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 23:10
Paddy Power	1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.09% E -4.92% K -16.10% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -2.44% E -0.888% K -1.39% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.09% E -4.92% K -16.10% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -2.44% E -0.888% K -1.39% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.09% E -4.92% K -16.10% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -2.44% E -0.888% K -1.39% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 23:19
Unibet (UK)	1.44I 69.44% NM 64.79%EV -7.09% E -4.92% K -16.10% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.21%EV -5.99% E -2.26% K -3.63% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-04 23:05
Bet Victor	1.44I 69.44% NM 64.36%EV -7.09% E -4.92% K -16.10% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 35.64%EV -7.76% E -2.99% K -4.85% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-04 23:09
SportsBet	1.43I 69.93% NM 65.95%EV -7.73% E -5.41% K -17.98% G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10% NM 34.05%EV -1.73% E -0.625% K -0.978% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-04 23:05
Marathon Bet	1.43I 69.93% NM 64.69%EV -7.73% E -5.41% K -17.98% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 35.31%EV -7.05% E -2.69% K -4.35% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-05 12:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Surrey (Local)	Sussex (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.45I 68.97%	2.70I 37.04%	6.0%	2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.51I 66.23%	1.60I 62.50%	28.7%	2026-07-05 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.51I 66.23%	1.60I 62.50%	28.7%	2026-07-05 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.38I 72.46%	1.45I 68.97%	41.4%	2026-07-05 10:00