The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Surrey v Kent

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Surrey (Local)

Prediction 61.42%1.63fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.59%61.14%61.54%62.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.511.501.5967.57%66.09%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kent (Visit)

Prediction 38.58%2.59fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.47%38.86%38.46%41.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.502.5244.44%40.57%40.00%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Surrey (Local): 61.42%; Kent (Visit): 38.58%. For Surrey (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -2.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -2.35%E -1.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 15:20
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.81%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 15:20
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 15:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 15:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 00:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.94%E -3.79%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -2.77%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:39
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:39
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:49
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:49
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:49
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 15:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.11%E -6.15%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 15:20
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.11%E -6.15%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-05-31 15:20
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-05-31 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-31 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-31 15:20
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-05-31 15:20