The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Somerset v Gloucestershire

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Somerset (Local)

Prediction 59.13%1.69fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.10%59.27%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.551.6765.36%63.95%64.52%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gloucestershire (Visit)

Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.869%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%40.90%40.73%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.362.402.5045.66%42.29%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Somerset (Local): 59.13%; Gloucestershire (Visit): 40.87%. For Gloucestershire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +2.17%E +0.869%K +1.45%G +0.031%3.7%2026-06-26 17:19
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.17%E +0.869%K +1.45%G +0.031%5.4%2026-06-26 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.17%E +0.869%K +1.45%G +0.031%5.4%2026-06-26 17:19
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.129%E +0.053%K +0.089%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:19
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:19
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:19
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:19
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:19
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 17:19
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 17:19
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 17:10
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -7.23%E -3.18%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -7.64%E -3.38%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 07:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.25%E -0.749%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%EV -10.50%E -4.79%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-06-26 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-06-26 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-06-26 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-26 17:20
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-06-26 17:20