預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Somerset v Glamorgan

開賽時間: 2026-06-04 18:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Somerset (主隊)

預測 56.53%1.77公平賠率
EV -2.20%
優勢 -1.27%
Kelly -3.02%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.73

博彩公司預測分布
55.26%56.67%56.51%58.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.601.671.661.7362.50%60.03%60.24%57.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Glamorgan (客隊)

預測 43.47%2.30公平賠率
EV -2.63%
優勢 -1.17%
Kelly -2.12%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.24

博彩公司預測分布
41.67%43.33%43.49%44.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.172.202.2447.62%46.05%45.45%44.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Somerset (主隊):56.53%;Glamorgan (客隊):43.47%。 對於「Somerset (主隊)」,該估計相當於1.77的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.73,期望值為-2.20%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-04 17:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-04 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 17:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 17:39
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-04 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:50
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:50
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:49
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:49
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 17:50
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-04 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-02 18:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-04 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-04 17:50
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-04 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-04 17:50
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-06-04 17:50