默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Somerset v Glamorgan

开赛时间： 2026-06-04 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

57%

43%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Somerset (主队)

预测 56.53%1.77公平赔率

EV -2.20%

优势 -1.27%

Kelly -3.02%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布

55.26%56.67%56.51%58.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.671.661.7362.50%60.03%60.24%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

Glamorgan (客队)

预测 43.47%2.30公平赔率

EV -2.63%

优势 -1.17%

Kelly -2.12%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.24

博彩公司预测分布

41.67%43.33%43.49%44.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.172.202.2447.62%46.05%45.45%44.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Somerset (主队)：56.53%；Glamorgan (客队)：43.47%。对于“Somerset (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.77。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.73，期望值为-2.20%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-06-04 17:50
Coral🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-06-04 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-04 17:40
TAB🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-04 17:50
SportsBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-04 17:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-04 17:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-04 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-04 17:40
Bet Victor🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-04 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:50
Unibet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:50
Casumo🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:49
Grosvenor🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:49
TABtouch🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:49
LeoVegas🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-04 17:49
Betway🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-04 17:39
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-04 17:50
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-04 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.26%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-04 17:49
Pinnacle🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-02 18:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%	0.5%	2026-06-04 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%	2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%	0.5%	2026-06-04 17:50
Matchbook◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%	2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%	0.5%	2026-06-04 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%	0.5%	2026-06-04 17:50
Smarkets◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%	2.3%	2026-06-04 17:50

Somerset v Glamorgan

胜负盘

Somerset (主队)

Glamorgan (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (5)

博彩交易所 (5)