The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nottinghamshire v Durham

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nottinghamshire (Local)

Prediction 48.99%2.04fair odd
EV +0.427%
Edge +0.208%
Kelly +0.406%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.62%48.85%50.00%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.942.002.0555.56%51.61%50.13%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Durham (Visit)

Prediction 51.01%1.96fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%51.15%50.00%54.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.791.9258.14%54.63%55.87%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nottinghamshire (Local): 48.99%; Durham (Visit): 51.01%. For Nottinghamshire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.427%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +0.427%E +0.208%K +0.406%G +0.002%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -12.26%E -7.13%K -17.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.18%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:39
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:39
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:49
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:49
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:49
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -2.51%E -1.26%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -11.75%E -6.79%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 13:50
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 13:49
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.08%E -1.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.37%E -5.07%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 13:50
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.07%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 13:49
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.35%E -5.66%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -10.35%E -5.66%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -3.08%E -1.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 13:49
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.82%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.08%E -1.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.82%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.08%E -1.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-05-31 13:50
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.1%2026-05-31 13:50