Language:English
Northamptonshire v Hampshire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northamptonshire (Local)
Prediction 42.24%2.37fair odd
EV +0.521%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.377%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.74%42.41%42.15%44.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.272.282.3847.17%44.14%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hampshire (Visit)
Prediction 57.76%1.73fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.64%57.59%57.85%60.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.631.6964.52%61.69%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northamptonshire (Local): 42.24%; Hampshire (Visit): 57.76%. For Northamptonshire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.521%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.521%E +0.219%K +0.377%G +0.002% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.747%E -0.318%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.47%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.86%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.86%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.86%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.58%E -4.74%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.55%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 17:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 17:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.77%E -4.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -10.46%E -4.93%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -2.38%E -1.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-07-18 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-18 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |