The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Northamptonshire v Gloucestershire

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northamptonshire (Local)

Prediction 60.62%1.65fair odd
EV +0.026%
Edge +0.016%
Kelly +0.040%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%60.40%61.41%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6566.67%64.52%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gloucestershire (Visit)

Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%39.60%38.59%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.382.402.5046.51%41.95%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northamptonshire (Local): 60.62%; Gloucestershire (Visit): 39.38%. For Northamptonshire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.6496. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.6500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.026%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +0.026%E +0.016%K +0.040%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.34%E -7.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 17:19
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 17:18
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 17:18
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.04%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.55%E -0.622%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.55%E -0.622%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 17:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.55%E -0.622%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.55%E -0.622%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 17:09
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.55%E -0.622%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -5.89%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 17:19
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 17:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-29 17:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-29 17:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-29 17:19
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-05-29 17:19
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%5.6%2026-05-29 17:20