The School of Odds
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Northamptonshire v Glamorgan

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northamptonshire (Local)

Prediction 57.54%1.74fair odd
EV +9.91%
Edge +5.19%
Kelly +10.89%
Growth +1.08%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%56.30%57.59%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.581.9164.10%60.91%63.29%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Glamorgan (Visit)

Prediction 42.46%2.36fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.790%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%43.70%42.41%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.232.232.4052.63%44.93%44.94%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northamptonshire (Local): 57.54%; Glamorgan (Visit): 42.46%. For Northamptonshire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +9.91%E +5.19%K +10.89%G +1.08%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -18.91%E -9.90%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +8.18%E +4.35%K +9.30%G +0.761%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -18.48%E -9.63%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 17:20
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +6.45%E +3.49%K +7.59%G +0.490%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -19.33%E -10.17%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +5.30%E +2.90%K +6.39%G +0.339%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -18.91%E -9.90%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 17:20
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +5.30%E +2.90%K +6.39%G +0.339%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -18.91%E -9.90%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 17:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.29%E -3.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 17:20
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.93%E -4.96%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.93%E -4.96%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -9.08%E -5.75%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 17:10
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -9.08%E -5.75%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 17:09
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.90%E +0.790%K +1.35%G +0.026%5.8%2026-05-22 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-05-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-05-22 17:20
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-05-22 17:20