Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middlesex v Hampshire

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middlesex (Local)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd

EV +2.62%

Edge +0.951%

Kelly +1.49%

Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.21%37.46%37.22%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.382.622.662.7542.02%38.22%37.66%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hampshire (Visit)

Prediction 62.69%1.60fair odd

EV -2.84%

Edge -1.83%

Kelly -5.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.76%62.54%62.78%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.461.451.5569.93%68.30%68.97%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middlesex (Local): 37.31%; Hampshire (Visit): 62.69%. For Middlesex (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Paddy Power🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.73%E -6.76%K -22.12%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-31 13:10
Unibet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:10
Grosvenor🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:10
TABtouch🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:10
LeoVegas🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:10
Casumo🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +2.62%E +0.951%K +1.49%G +0.039%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 13:10
SportsBet🎯	2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV +0.377%E +0.140%K +0.223%G +0.001%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-31 13:10
Coral🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.23%E -0.853%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-30 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.23%E -0.853%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-30 21:30
Pinnacle🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 36.50%EV -5.22%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 63.50%EV -8.48%E -5.81%K -18.43%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-31 04:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.59%E -2.21%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-31 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -5.97%E -2.37%K -3.93%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -8.48%E -5.81%K -18.43%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-31 13:20
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.71%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-31 02:40
Betway🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.71%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-05-30 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.58%E -3.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-31 13:20
TAB🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.44%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-31 13:20
Betsson🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.44%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-31 13:20
NordicBet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.44%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-31 13:19
Bet Victor🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.19%E -4.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-31 13:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Matchbook◎	2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%	0.5%	2026-05-31 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%	0.6%	2026-05-31 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%	0.6%	2026-05-31 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%	1.6%	2026-05-31 13:20
Smarkets◎	2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%	4.7%	2026-05-31 13:20