The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Leicestershire v Lancashire

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicestershire (Local)

Prediction 33.24%3.01fair odd
EV -0.288%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.144%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%33.70%33.49%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.462.892.953.0040.65%34.58%33.90%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lancashire (Visit)

Prediction 66.76%1.50fair odd
EV +0.144%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.288%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.12%66.30%66.51%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.5073.53%71.90%71.43%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leicestershire (Local): 33.24%; Lancashire (Visit): 66.76%. For Lancashire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.498. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.144%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -18.24%E -7.41%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV +0.144%E +0.096%K +0.288%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 22:50
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:19
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -9.93%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 17:20
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 17:19
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.95%E -0.661%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 17:09
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.95%E -0.661%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 17:09
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.61%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -3.94%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.61%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 17:19
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.61%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 17:09
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -8.26%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -7.20%E -5.18%K -18.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 17:19
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:19
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:20
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:19
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:19
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.288%E -0.096%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 17:19
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.20%E -6.77%K -25.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-06-26 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-06-26 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-06-26 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-06-26 17:20
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%5.3%2026-06-26 17:20