The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Lancashire v Nottinghamshire

Kickoff: 2026-05-25 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lancashire (Local)

Prediction 48.12%2.08fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%48.27%47.71%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0353.48%51.08%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nottinghamshire (Visit)

Prediction 51.88%1.93fair odd
EV -0.909%
Edge -0.476%
Kelly -0.999%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.73%52.29%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.801.9157.14%55.30%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lancashire (Local): 48.12%; Nottinghamshire (Visit): 51.88%. For Nottinghamshire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.909%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -2.32%E -1.14%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -7.65%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 21:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 21:39
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 21:38
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 22:59
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.65%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:49
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:50
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 14:39
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 14:48
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:49
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:49
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:49
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.909%E -0.476%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.02%E -5.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-25 14:50
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%3.4%2026-05-25 14:50