The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kent v Nottinghamshire

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kent (Local)

Prediction 41.41%2.41fair odd
EV +8.50%
Edge +3.24%
Kelly +5.25%
Growth +0.446%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.41%41.72%42.26%47.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.342.382.6251.02%42.72%42.02%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nottinghamshire (Visit)

Prediction 58.59%1.71fair odd
EV +4.87%
Edge +2.72%
Kelly +6.17%
Growth +0.301%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.27%58.28%57.74%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.571.7966.67%62.91%63.69%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kent (Local): 41.41%; Nottinghamshire (Visit): 58.59%. For Kent (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +8.50%E +3.24%K +5.25%G +0.446%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV +4.77%E +1.89%K +3.12%G +0.149%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +3.53%E +1.41%K +2.35%G +0.083%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-26 17:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.53%E +1.41%K +2.35%G +0.083%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 17:49
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.53%E +1.41%K +2.35%G +0.083%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +1.46%E +0.596%K +1.01%G +0.015%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.36%E -6.77%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 17:49
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 17:49
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 17:49
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 17:49
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 17:50
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 17:39
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 17:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -8.48%E -3.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 17:39
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 17:39
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 17:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.04%E -6.21%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.36%E +0.785%K +1.86%G +0.025%5.4%2026-06-23 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -18.83%E -9.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV +4.87%E +2.72%K +6.17%G +0.301%6.9%2026-06-24 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-06-26 17:50
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-26 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-06-26 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-06-26 17:50
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%8.2%2026-06-26 17:50