The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kent v Hampshire

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kent (Local)

Prediction 42.62%2.35fair odd
EV +0.146%
Edge +0.062%
Kelly +0.108%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%42.35%43.02%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.262.202.3546.73%44.34%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hampshire (Visit)

Prediction 57.38%1.74fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -6.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%57.65%56.98%60.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6764.10%61.91%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kent (Local): 42.62%; Hampshire (Visit): 57.38%. For Kent (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.347. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.350, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.146%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 08:30
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 08:30
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 08:30
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 08:30
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 08:29
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +0.146%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 08:30
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.858%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 00:19
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.99%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 13:19
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.99%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 14:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 14:20
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 14:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 14:19
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 14:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 14:19
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.80%E -4.11%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 14:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-06-28 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-06-28 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-06-28 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.8%2026-06-28 14:20
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%6.3%2026-06-28 14:20