Language:English
Kent v Essex
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kent (Local)
Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.32%65.29%65.74%66.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.431.5071.43%69.68%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Essex (Visit)
Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -0.727%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.10%34.71%34.26%36.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.702.702.8539.68%37.06%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kent (Local): 65.38%; Essex (Visit): 34.62%. For Essex (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -12.77%E -5.07%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 12:38 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.81%E -5.54%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -1.35%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 17:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-05-29 17:20 |