The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hampshire v Yorkshire

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hampshire (Local)

Prediction 57.73%1.73fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.64%57.97%57.41%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.621.631.7166.67%61.77%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yorkshire (Visit)

Prediction 42.27%2.37fair odd
EV +5.68%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +3.79%
Growth +0.215%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%42.03%42.59%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.262.252.5048.54%44.24%44.44%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hampshire (Local): 57.73%; Yorkshire (Visit): 42.27%. For Yorkshire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.68%E -7.63%K -22.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.68%E +2.27%K +3.79%G +0.215%5.4%2026-06-26 17:50
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.68%E -7.63%K -22.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.68%E +2.27%K +3.79%G +0.215%5.4%2026-06-26 17:49
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.41%E -8.94%K -26.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +5.68%E +2.27%K +3.79%G +0.215%6.7%2026-06-26 17:49
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.64%E -4.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.77%E -1.21%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.64%E -4.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.77%E -1.21%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.06%E -4.38%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 13:19
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.37%E -5.97%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 17:48
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 07:20
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.64%E -4.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.06%E -4.38%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 14:19
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.86%E -1.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -1.29%E -0.751%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -12.92%E -6.27%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-26 17:50
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-26 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-06-26 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-06-26 17:50
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%4.5%2026-06-26 17:50