Language:English
Hampshire v Middlesex
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hampshire (Local)
Prediction 65.96%1.52fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -6.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.88%65.88%65.94%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.411.411.4772.46%70.72%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Middlesex (Visit)
Prediction 34.04%2.94fair odd
EV +0.406%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%34.12%34.06%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.802.9538.46%35.64%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hampshire (Local): 65.96%; Middlesex (Visit): 34.04%. For Middlesex (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.406%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.406%E +0.138%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.406%E +0.138%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.406%E +0.138%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.406%E +0.138%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.406%E +0.138%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.406%E +0.138%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.406%E +0.138%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.406%E +0.138%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.406%E +0.138%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.65%E -5.46%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.30%E -0.447%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 04:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.65%E -5.46%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.98%E -0.686%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.06%EV -8.97%E -6.50%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.94%EV -4.36%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.33%E -4.46%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.33%E -4.46%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.33%E -4.46%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.65%E -5.46%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.01%E -3.48%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.40%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.01%E -3.48%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.40%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.01%E -3.48%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.40%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.01%E -3.48%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.40%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.01%E -3.48%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.40%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.01%E -3.48%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.40%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.01%E -3.48%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.40%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -7.65%E -5.46%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.42%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-08 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -5.01%E -3.48%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -7.76%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.65%E -5.46%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.10%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-08 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.35%E -3.00%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.80%E -3.70%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.03%E -2.06%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.51%E -4.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.03%E -2.06%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.51%E -4.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.35%E -3.00%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.51%E -4.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-07-08 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-07-08 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-07-08 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88% | 2.7% | 2026-07-08 17:55 |
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