The School of Odds

Hampshire v Middlesex

2026-07-08 18:00 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Option 1: Hampshire (Local)

Odds
1.4071.43%Min
1.4469.52%Mean
1.4469.44%Median
1.4568.97%Max
Consensus probabilities
64.20%1.558Min
66.67%1.500Max
65.27%1.532Mean
65.48%1.527Median
65.39%1.529IQM
65.31%1.531Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.45 under the IQM model: 65.39%

EV -5.18%Edge -3.57%Kelly -11.51%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Middlesex (Visit)

Odds
2.6038.46%Min
2.7236.76%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.8235.46%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.33%3.000Min
35.80%2.793Max
34.73%2.879Mean
34.52%2.897Median
34.61%2.890IQM
34.69%2.882Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.82 under the IQM model: 34.61%

EV -2.41%Edge -0.856%Kelly -1.33%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHampshire (Local) ▼Middlesex (Visit)MarginUpdated
NordicBet1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -5.18% E -3.57% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:49
Betsson1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -5.18% E -3.57% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.18% E -3.57% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.57% E -2.43% K -3.86% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 18:05
Neds1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.18% E -3.57% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.57% E -2.43% K -3.86% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 18:10
TAB1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.18% E -3.57% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.57% E -2.43% K -3.86% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 19:00
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97% NM 64.20%EV -5.18% E -3.57% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -10.03% E -3.86% K -6.27% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.83% E -4.05% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:05
Coral1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.83% E -4.05% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.83% E -4.05% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.83% E -4.05% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:09
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.83% E -4.05% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:10
888sport1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.83% E -4.05% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:49
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.83% E -4.05% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.83% E -4.05% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.84% E -1.76% K -2.76% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 19:10
Betway1.44I 69.44% NM 64.53%EV -5.83% E -4.05% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 35.47%EV -9.33% E -3.56% K -5.76% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42% NM 65.53%EV -7.14% E -5.03% K -17.00% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.47%EV -6.57% E -2.43% K -3.86% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 18:15
SportsBet1.41I 70.92% NM 66.67%EV -7.79% E -5.53% K -19.01% G +0.000%2.82I 35.46% NM 33.33%EV -2.41% E -0.856% K -1.33% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 18:05
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43% NM 65.17%EV -8.45% E -6.03% K -21.12% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.83%EV -9.33% E -3.56% K -5.76% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerHampshire (Local)Middlesex (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%2.74I 36.50%5.5%2026-07-05 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%1.55I 64.52%31.6%2026-07-05 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%1.55I 64.52%31.6%2026-07-05 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%1.40I 71.43%43.9%2026-07-05 19:35