Language:English
Hampshire v Kent
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hampshire (Local)
Prediction 53.45%1.87fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%54.09%52.70%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.751.781.9165.36%57.27%56.18%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kent (Visit)
Prediction 46.55%2.15fair odd
EV +16.37%
Edge +6.55%
Kelly +10.91%
Growth +1.79%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%45.91%47.30%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.062.002.5054.64%48.50%50.00%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hampshire (Local): 53.45%; Kent (Visit): 46.55%. For Kent (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -18.22%E -11.91%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +16.37%E +6.55%K +10.91%G +1.79% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -16.61%E -10.65%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +11.71%E +4.88%K +8.37%G +0.980% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.41%E -8.28%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.06%E +3.07%K +5.43%G +0.383% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.67%E -5.72%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.67%E -5.72%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.67%E -5.72%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -9.67%E -5.72%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.11%E -0.602%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.11%E -0.602%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.16%E -5.27%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.11%E -0.602%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.16%E -5.27%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.56%E -6.08%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +2.09%E +1.10%K +2.30%G +0.048% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -14.82%E -8.10%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 14:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
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