The School of Odds

Hampshire v Kent

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hampshire (Local)

Prediction 53.45%1.87fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%54.09%52.70%62.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.531.751.781.9165%57%56%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kent (Visit)

Prediction 46.55%2.15fair odd
EV +16.37%
Edge +6.55%
Kelly +10.91%
Growth +1.79%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%45.91%47.30%51.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.832.062.002.5055%48%50%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -18.22%E -11.91%K -34.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +16.37%E +6.55%K +10.91%G +1.79%5.4%2026-07-03 23:44
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -16.61%E -10.65%K -29.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +11.71%E +4.88%K +8.37%G +0.980%5.8%2026-07-05 14:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.41%E -8.28%K -21.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.06%E +3.07%K +5.43%G +0.383%5.2%2026-07-05 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.67%E -5.72%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Virgin Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.67%E -5.72%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.67%E -5.72%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:25
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:25
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.077%E +0.036%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:25
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 14:20
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -9.67%E -5.72%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 14:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 14:15
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 14:15
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 14:20
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 14:15
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 14:15
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 14:20
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.11%E -0.602%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 14:19
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 14:20
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 14:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 14:19
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.11%E -0.602%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.16%E -5.27%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.11%E -0.602%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.16%E -5.27%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:19
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 14:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.56%E -6.08%K -12.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +2.09%E +1.10%K +2.30%G +0.048%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -14.82%E -8.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 14:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-05 14:25
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.6%2026-07-05 14:25