The School of Odds

Hampshire v Essex

2026-07-15 15:30 UTC — T20 Blast

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hampshire (Local)

Prediction 54.90%1.82fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -6.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%54.80%54.90%55.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.691.721.731.7359%58%58%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Essex (Visit)

Prediction 45.10%2.22fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%45.20%45.10%45.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.092.102.1049%48%48%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 22:24
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 22:24
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 22:29
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 23:24
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 00:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 00:54
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 22:24
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 22:24
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:24
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:24
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 23:14
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 23:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 23:25
Unibet (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%8.2%2026-07-12 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 50.00%1.16I 86.21%NM 50.00%72.4%2026-07-12 22:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 50.00%1.16I 86.21%NM 50.00%72.4%2026-07-12 22:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 50.00%1.16I 86.21%NM 50.00%72.4%2026-07-12 22:24