The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hampshire v Essex

Kickoff: 2026-05-26 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hampshire (Local)

Prediction 64.46%1.55fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -11.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.79%64.89%64.53%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.69%69.69%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Essex (Visit)

Prediction 35.54%2.81fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.815%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%35.11%35.47%36.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.582.712.752.8838.76%36.87%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hampshire (Local): 64.46%; Essex (Visit): 35.54%. For Essex (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.75%E -6.97%K -24.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +2.35%E +0.815%K +1.25%G +0.029%6.2%2026-05-26 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.17%E -4.98%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.17%E -4.98%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.17%E -4.98%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.17%E -4.98%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.17%E -4.98%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:50
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.17%E -4.98%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:49
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:50
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.27%E -0.826%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:49
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.53%E -4.50%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.05%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 17:50
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.17%E -4.98%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.89%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.53%E -4.50%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.46%E -5.96%K -20.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-26 17:50
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.46%E -5.96%K -20.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-26 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -5.24%E -3.56%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.21%EV -7.96%E -3.07%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 01:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%EV -7.17%E -4.98%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-26 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-05-26 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-05-26 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-26 17:50
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-05-26 17:50