The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Gloucestershire v Worcestershire

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gloucestershire (Local)

Prediction 47.96%2.09fair odd
EV +0.706%
Edge +0.336%
Kelly +0.641%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.03%47.86%47.72%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.981.972.1057.14%50.39%50.76%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Worcestershire (Visit)

Prediction 52.04%1.92fair odd
EV +4.09%
Edge +2.04%
Kelly +4.09%
Growth +0.167%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%52.14%52.28%54.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.802.0058.82%55.80%55.56%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gloucestershire (Local): 47.96%; Worcestershire (Visit): 52.04%. For Worcestershire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -16.08%E -9.19%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +4.09%E +2.04%K +4.09%G +0.167%7.1%2026-06-07 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.594%E -0.311%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 07:59
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.68%E -1.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-07 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-07 13:10
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-07 13:09
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.53%E -2.81%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.53%E -2.81%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 13:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.53%E -2.81%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.53%E -2.81%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.53%E -2.81%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 13:09
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.53%E -2.81%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.53%E -2.81%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 13:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-07 12:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.69%E -0.825%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 13:19
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.706%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.706%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 13:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.706%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 13:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-07 13:19
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +0.706%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -10.48%E -6.09%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 13:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.69%E -0.825%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-07 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-07 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-06-07 13:19
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-06-07 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-06-07 13:19
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%5.0%2026-06-07 13:20