La scuola delle quote

Gloucestershire v Surrey

Inizio: 2026-07-04 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gloucestershire (Casa)

Previsione 36.32%2.75quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.89%36.20%36.43%37.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.612.632.6540.00%38.28%38.10%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Surrey (Trasferta)

Previsione 63.68%1.57quota equa
EV -4.48%
Vantaggio -2.99%
Kelly -8.96%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.50%63.80%63.57%65.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.481.481.5070.42%67.63%67.57%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 17:40
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 17:40
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:40
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:40
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:40
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:40
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:40
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:40
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:40
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 17:50
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 17:55
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:55
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.84%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 17:35
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.84%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.84%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 20:45
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.84%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 17:55
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 17:40
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 17:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:55
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 06:00
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.66%E -5.29%K -17.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 17:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 17:40
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -8.84%E -3.52%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 17:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 17:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.66%E -5.29%K -17.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-03 20:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-07-04 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-07-04 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-07-04 17:55
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-07-04 17:55
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-07-04 17:55