Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Glamorgan v Somerset

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

38%

62%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Glamorgan (Local)

Prediction 37.79%2.65fair odd

EV +2.02%

Edge +0.749%

Kelly +1.19%

Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.62%37.87%37.50%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.562.602.7043.48%39.08%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Somerset (Visit)

Prediction 62.21%1.61fair odd

EV -2.32%

Edge -1.48%

Kelly -4.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.64%62.13%62.50%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.481.451.5769.93%67.72%68.97%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Glamorgan (Local): 37.79%; Somerset (Visit): 62.21%. For Glamorgan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Virgin Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.41%E -7.23%K -23.66%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-29 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.41%E -7.23%K -23.66%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-29 17:09
Unibet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.41%E -7.23%K -23.66%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-29 17:09
Casumo🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.03%E -7.72%K -25.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-29 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.03%E -7.72%K -25.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-29 17:09
Grosvenor🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.03%E -7.72%K -25.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-29 17:09
TABtouch🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.03%E -7.72%K -25.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-29 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.03%E -7.72%K -25.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-29 17:09
LeoVegas🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.03%E -7.72%K -25.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-29 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.02%E +0.749%K +1.19%G +0.024%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.03%E -7.72%K -25.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-29 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -0.245%E -0.093%K -0.149%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -8.55%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-29 17:19
TAB🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.76%E -0.675%K -1.10%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.92%E -5.35%K -16.51%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-29 17:18
Betr (AU)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -1.76%E -0.675%K -1.10%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.79%E -6.75%K -21.76%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-29 13:59
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.36%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-29 17:19
NordicBet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.79%E -6.75%K -21.76%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-05-29 17:19
Betsson🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.79%E -6.75%K -21.76%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-05-29 17:19
Bet Victor🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.41%E -7.23%K -23.66%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-05-29 17:18
Marathon Bet🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -7.80%E -3.20%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.30%E -4.90%K -14.90%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-29 17:19
SportsBet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.49%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-29 17:19
Paddy Power🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.32%E -1.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-29 17:19
Coral🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -10.45%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -2.32%E -1.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-29 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -10.45%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -2.32%E -1.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-29 17:19
Pinnacle🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -12.34%E -5.32%K -9.35%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -2.32%E -1.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-27 17:50
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.09%E -5.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.49%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-29 17:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	0.6%	2026-05-29 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	0.6%	2026-05-29 17:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	0.6%	2026-05-29 17:19
Matchbook◎	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	0.6%	2026-05-29 17:19
Smarkets◎	2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%	1.1%	2026-05-29 17:20