The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Glamorgan v Middlesex

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Glamorgan (Local)

Prediction 63.75%1.57fair odd
EV +2.00%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +3.33%
Growth +0.067%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.22%63.26%63.73%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.6071.43%68.44%68.97%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Middlesex (Visit)

Prediction 36.25%2.76fair odd
EV -0.309%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%36.74%36.27%41.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.622.652.7544.84%38.13%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Glamorgan (Local): 63.75%; Middlesex (Visit): 36.25%. For Glamorgan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV +2.00%E +1.25%K +3.33%G +0.067%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -19.16%E -8.59%K -15.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 21:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.46%E -1.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 05:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.02%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 17:09
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.02%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.65%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.75%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.309%E -0.112%K -0.176%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 17:19
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.309%E -0.112%K -0.176%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 17:19
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.12%E -0.786%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 17:18
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.12%E -0.786%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 17:19
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.75%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.56%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 17:19
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.20%E -5.70%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.309%E -0.112%K -0.176%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 17:17
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.20%E -5.70%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 17:19
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.20%E -5.70%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.20%E -5.70%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.20%E -5.70%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.20%E -5.70%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 17:19
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.20%E -5.70%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.20%E -5.70%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.75%E -7.68%K -26.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.12%E -0.786%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-06-26 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-06-26 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-06-26 17:20
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-06-26 17:20
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%5.6%2026-06-26 17:20