The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Glamorgan v Gloucestershire

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Glamorgan (Local)

Prediction 51.16%1.95fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%51.17%50.79%53.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.881.9157.14%53.45%53.19%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gloucestershire (Visit)

Prediction 48.84%2.05fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.911%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.54%48.83%49.21%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.882.0154.64%52.75%53.05%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Glamorgan (Local): 51.16%; Gloucestershire (Visit): 48.84%. For Gloucestershire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.01, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.71%E -3.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 17:49
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.71%E -3.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.71%E -3.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 17:49
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.71%E -3.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 17:49
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:47
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.31%E -1.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.69%E -4.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.31%E -1.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.69%E -4.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.31%E -1.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.69%E -4.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.67%E -4.64%K -9.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:49
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.36%E -2.89%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.23%E -3.24%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.89%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.89%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.89%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 17:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.45%E -5.34%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -10.47%E -5.98%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -1.83%E -0.911%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-05-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-05-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-23 17:50
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-23 17:50
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%3.5%2026-05-23 17:50