Language:English
Essex v Kent
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Essex (Local)
Prediction 49.42%2.02fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.579%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.60%49.33%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.922.0054.64%52.02%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kent (Visit)
Prediction 50.58%1.98fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.40%50.67%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.821.9155.56%54.52%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Essex (Local): 49.42%; Kent (Visit): 50.58%. For Essex (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.16%E -0.579%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.63%E -1.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.63%E -1.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.63%E -1.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.12%E -2.13%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-09 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.12%E -2.13%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-09 17:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.12%E -2.13%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.12%E -2.13%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-09 17:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.12%E -2.13%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-09 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.12%E -2.13%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-09 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.12%E -2.13%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.95%E -4.37%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-09 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.91%E -2.61%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.43%E -3.48%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.61%E -2.93%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.78%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.61%E -2.93%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.44%E -4.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.61%E -2.93%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.44%E -4.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.61%E -2.93%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.44%E -4.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.10%E -3.21%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.43%E -3.48%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-09 17:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.10%E -3.21%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.44%E -4.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.10%E -3.21%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.10%E -3.21%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.58%E -4.05%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.56%E -5.22%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.39%E -1.78%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-06-09 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-06-09 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-09 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.4% | 2026-06-09 17:50 |