语言:简体中文
Essex v Derbyshire
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Essex (主队)
预测 50.27%1.99公平赔率
EV +0.535%
优势 +0.267%
Kelly +0.535%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
47.37%49.96%50.00%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.871.882.0055.56%53.38%53.19%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Derbyshire (客队)
预测 49.73%2.01公平赔率
EV -0.535%
优势 -0.267%
Kelly -0.535%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
47.37%50.04%50.00%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.891.892.0055.56%52.95%52.91%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Essex (主队)：50.27%；Derbyshire (客队)：49.73%。 对于“Essex (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.99。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.00，对应+0.535%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.535%E +0.267%K +0.535%G +0.003% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.49%E -2.36%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.92%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.92%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.92%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.92%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.92%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.92%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.92%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.21%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-31 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.01%E -4.38%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 14:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.01%E -4.38%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.52%E -5.29%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.535%E -0.267%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.52%E -5.29%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.52%E -5.29%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 14:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.8% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.8% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |