The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Durham v Yorkshire

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Durham (Local)

Prediction 46.24%2.16fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%46.25%47.30%48.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.062.102.1151.81%48.58%47.62%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yorkshire (Visit)

Prediction 53.76%1.86fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.47%53.75%52.70%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.701.8260.61%58.03%58.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Durham (Local): 46.24%; Yorkshire (Visit): 53.76%. For Yorkshire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -2.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -2.43%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.69%E -5.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 17:19
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 17:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 17:19
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 17:19
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:09
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.30%E -6.85%K -17.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -4.74%E -2.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -9.69%E -5.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 12:38
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 17:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 17:00
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:18
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -2.16%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 03:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-29 17:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-29 17:19
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-29 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-29 17:19
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-05-29 17:20