语言:简体中文
Derbyshire v Durham
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Derbyshire (主队)
预测 39.09%2.56公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -0.594%
Kelly -0.986%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.52
博彩公司预测分布
37.47%39.20%39.13%41.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.292.362.352.5243.67%42.36%42.55%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
Durham (客队)
预测 60.91%1.64公平赔率
EV -2.54%
优势 -1.59%
Kelly -4.23%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
58.97%60.80%60.87%62.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.561.551.6066.67%64.17%64.52%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Derbyshire (主队)：39.09%；Durham (客队)：60.91%。 对于“Derbyshire (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.56。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.52，期望值为-1.50%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -1.50%E -0.594%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -8.02%E -5.31%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.80%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.80%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.80%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.59%E -3.60%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 01:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.63%E -5.75%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.80%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.80%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.80%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.14%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.59%E -3.60%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 01:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.14%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.63%E -5.75%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.14%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.63%E -5.75%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.54%E -1.59%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -10.49%E -4.58%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.59%E -3.60%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 14:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |