语言:简体中文
Birmingham Bears v Worcestershire
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Birmingham Bears (主队)
预测 55.65%1.80公平赔率
EV +0.176%
优势 +0.098%
Kelly +0.220%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.80
博彩公司预测分布
52.00%55.30%55.64%57.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.701.711.8062.11%58.85%58.31%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
Worcestershire (客队)
预测 44.35%2.25公平赔率
EV -2.44%
优势 -1.11%
Kelly -2.03%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.20
博彩公司预测分布
42.82%44.70%44.36%48.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.122.102.2051.28%47.15%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Birmingham Bears (主队)：55.65%；Worcestershire (客队)：44.35%。 对于“Birmingham Bears (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.797。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.800，对应+0.176%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.176%E +0.098%K +0.220%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.176%E +0.098%K +0.220%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.52%E -6.94%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -4.83%E -2.83%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -8.65%E -4.20%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -5.95%E -3.52%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -9.53%E -4.67%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.17%E -4.95%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.17%E -4.95%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.17%E -4.95%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.17%E -4.95%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.40%E -6.46%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 17:48 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 17:50 |